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January 07, 2008

'The game machine market after five years reduces up to present 16%' Nomura Research Institute of Technology and Economics expects it.

Contributor fuwarin : January 7, 2008 10:14 AM | Categories [Game ]

Game ImageNomura Research Institute of Technology and Economics announced the first of the analysis in five fields in Japan that was able to be put by 2012 of the 17th December, 2007 in the main IT market. It was clarified that this laboratory was forecasting, "Reduce up to 5.8 million from which the market in the type of domestic leaving untouched game machine corresponded to about 16% of the reality in 2012" according to it. ([Press Release])

The market scale forecast of a broadband market and a hard market is open to the public in the result of the survey for the announcement this time. It is expected that making to broadband is promoted further in Internet world as the optical fiber line will approach 20 million contracts in five years, and reach at the level that the market scale and 869.7 billion yen and as much as one trillion yen are close.

Market scale forecast
Market scale forecast

The robotics market (Only amount absolutely : though it is small) is taken as the growth rate is gradual and in view of the figure, it can be taken that making to IT will advance up to 6.1 times the swelling as going up etc. in five years though the growth of the cellular phone continues in addition.

'Type of leaving untouched' game
machine market will reduce to even
1/6 in five years.
There is a possibility of be activated, too,
if the next generation machine appears.

It is a part of "Game machine" that it is anxious. The expectation that markets that 36.22 million in fiscal year 2007 reduce up to 5.8 million in fiscal year 2012 after five years is set up though the unit is "1000". It makes it to the rate, and only about 1/6, and about 16%. It is in the disclaimer , saying that "Only the domestic unredeemable type game machine market of the third generation and the fourth generation is indicated, and the portable game machine and game software are excluded". Data concerning a portable game machine and game software is unpublished in data of opening to the public now. After it is open to the public, it is necessary to reexamine them collectively. Even if it is subtracted, the figure of the surprise.

The third generation shows "GC,PS2,Xbox" and the fourth generation shows "Wii,PS3,Xbox360". It is assumed that the game machine of the fifth generation that is the following generation machine by 2012 appears. Then, this reduction is suppressed. And, it is analyzed that the market is activated, too in the report (It can be read now when saying oppositely as the market of "It relies on next generation's game machine").

It seems that the item of "Cellular phone terminal" invades the share of "(domestic unredeemable type) game machine" to some degree in the data open to the public this time. However, there might not be so much influence on "Decrease by 1/6" because the growth rate of the cellular phone is guessed to be an expansion of 23% every five years.

Is does it expect that needs concerning the game only do the slide from "Type of leaving untouched" to "Portable type", "Cellular phone" or other digital devices or a viewpoint "The age that sells as hardware flies passes, and the download supply of software is promoted"?Information on another genre that will be announced as a continued report in the future is paid attention, and even I will see the chance and analyze it.

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